BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+7 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card in Russia. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to acquire a great deal of money from this week considering it’s a more compact card and begins at 10:15am ET. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I will attempt to get my 2nd and 3rd chairs this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw 100 or so entries at the $25k prize, then I will probably take a couple shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get into a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Roxanne Modafferi — $6,900
I really don’t think there are any money locks this week, so I needed to bring up a money plan I use a lot of the moment, which can be punting in cash and accepting a reduction. I don’t believe Roxy gets the win , but she is just $6.9k and that I believe she receives 15-minutes of actions. I like the floor that comes with that and punting along with her cheap cost enables us to fit in a lot of the higher favorites with our other five spots. We do not need 6 wins in cash games, so I do not believe we need to even try for it. I enjoy playing money games safer and if I can lock in 25-35 points in a loss from Roxy at her cheap price I’m totally okay with that. I always look for 4 wins in cash and above 350-400 DK points. That is my goal weekly. Let everyone else make the errors and only shoot for a score that may beat 50% or more of this area.
GPP play of this week — Alistair Overeem — $8,900
This really is an all-in struggle for GPPs in my view and I enjoy Overeem among my top plays of the week. Oleinik took this fight on short notice so I would be amazed to see this go all 5 rounds. In addition, I think Overeem will be too quick for him to get takedowns, and Overeem is amounts ahead of him at the striking game. The only shooter Oleinik has of winning on the toes is by landing a haymaker and knocking Overeem out. Or, get a standing entry. Besides those two results, Overeem will smoke on the feet. In addition, I believe Overeem will work his way back into his feet if he’s taken down and the more Oleinik shoots takedowns the quicker he will gas out. I like the -175 ITD lineup that comes with Overeem here and I believe he gets a complete in round 2 or 1. That should provide us near 100 DK points or even more, and I want that in lots of my GPP lineups.
Underdog drama of this week — Rafael Fiziev — $7,700
Fiziev is no longer the underdog on the gambling line (-120) however DraftKings salaries do not change as soon as they are released. We get Fiziev here for 800 less costly than Mustafaev and he’s preferred to get the win. I was very impressed with what I saw out of this kid and I concur with the line movement. I really do think he gets the win , but it’s the DK value that we would like to make certain to get exposure to this weekend. I believe he is an excellent play cash games with the current value and that I expect to be overweight on him GPPs too. We must roster underdogs in our lineups and when we can use a favorite as one of those”underdogs” then I am usually on board for it.
Fade of this week — Antonina Shevchenko ($9,300)
Antonina Shevchenko is my fade of the week for her $9.3k price tag. I really do think she has the win here since I said earlier, I simply don’t see the way she can pay off that wages with no finish. I really don’t see her shooting any takedowns in this match, and I do not wish to rely on her obtaining knockdown points . So, we are only likely to be getting 0.5 points per significant strike, and the 30-point win bonus when she wins a choice. If this is true, we would want her to land over 126 sig strikes just to secure more than 10x value. I don’t see that being the case and I believe she likely scores 80-85 DK points in a decision win. At her wages, that will not win anybody the large $25k. That is the prize I’m shooting for so that is why she’s my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 69-41 to get +237.39u (+$23,739) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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August 8, 2019